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Binomial distribution Questions in English

Class 12 Mathematics · Probability · Binomial distribution

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101
MediumMCQ
If a variable takes values $0, 1, 2, \dots, n$ with frequencies ${q^n}, \frac{n}{1}{q^{n - 1}}p, \frac{n(n - 1)}{1 \times 2}{q^{n - 2}}{p^2}, \dots, {p^n}$,where $p + q = 1$,then the mean is
A
$np$
B
$nq$
C
$n(p + q)$
D
None of these

Solution

(A) The given frequencies are the terms of the binomial expansion of $(q + p)^n$.
The mean $\bar{x}$ is given by the formula $\bar{x} = \frac{\sum_{r=0}^{n} r f_r}{\sum_{r=0}^{n} f_r}$.
Here,$f_r = {^nC_r} q^{n-r} p^r$.
The denominator is $\sum_{r=0}^{n} {^nC_r} q^{n-r} p^r = (q + p)^n = 1^n = 1$.
The numerator is $\sum_{r=0}^{n} r {^nC_r} q^{n-r} p^r$.
Since $r {^nC_r} = n {^{n-1}C_{r-1}}$,the numerator becomes $\sum_{r=1}^{n} n {^{n-1}C_{r-1}} q^{(n-1)-(r-1)} p^r$.
$= np \sum_{r=1}^{n} {^{n-1}C_{r-1}} q^{(n-1)-(r-1)} p^{r-1}$.
Let $k = r-1$,then the sum is $np \sum_{k=0}^{n-1} {^{n-1}C_k} q^{(n-1)-k} p^k = np(q + p)^{n-1} = np(1)^{n-1} = np$.
Thus,the mean is $\frac{np}{1} = np$.
102
MediumMCQ
$A$ fair coin is tossed $n$ times. Let $X$ be the number of times head is observed. If $P(X = 4), P(X = 5)$ and $P(X = 6)$ are in $H.P.$,then $n$ is equal to
A
$7$
B
$10$
C
$14$
D
None of these

Solution

(D) The probability of getting $k$ heads in $n$ tosses of a fair coin is given by the binomial distribution: $P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} (\frac{1}{2})^n$.
Given that $P(X = 4), P(X = 5), P(X = 6)$ are in $H.P.$,their reciprocals must be in $A.P.$
Thus,$\frac{1}{P(X = 4)}, \frac{1}{P(X = 5)}, \frac{1}{P(X = 6)}$ are in $A.P.$
This implies $\frac{2}{P(X = 5)} = \frac{1}{P(X = 4)} + \frac{1}{P(X = 6)}$.
Substituting the values: $\frac{2}{\binom{n}{5}} = \frac{1}{\binom{n}{4}} + \frac{1}{\binom{n}{6}}$.
Using $\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}$,we get $\frac{2 \times 5!(n-5)!}{n!} = \frac{4!(n-4)!}{n!} + \frac{6!(n-6)!}{n!}$.
Multiplying by $\frac{n!}{4!(n-6)!}$,we obtain: $2 \times 5 \times (n-5) = (n-4)(n-5) + 6 \times 5$.
$10n - 50 = n^2 - 9n + 20 + 30$.
$n^2 - 19n + 100 = 0$.
The discriminant $D = (-19)^2 - 4(1)(100) = 361 - 400 = -39$.
Since $D < 0$,there is no real integer solution for $n$. Thus,the correct option is $D$.
103
DifficultMCQ
Suppose $X$ follows a binomial distribution with parameters $n$ and $p$,where $0 < p < 1.$ If $\frac{P(X = r)}{P(X = n - r)}$ is independent of $n$ and $r$,then
A
$p = \frac{1}{2}$
B
$p = \frac{1}{3}$
C
$p = \frac{1}{4}$
D
None of these

Solution

(A) The probability mass function of a binomial distribution is given by $P(X = k) = {}^nC_k p^k (1 - p)^{n-k}$.
We are given the ratio $\frac{P(X = r)}{P(X = n - r)}$.
Substituting the formula,we get:
$\frac{P(X = r)}{P(X = n - r)} = \frac{{}^nC_r p^r (1 - p)^{n-r}}{{}^nC_{n-r} p^{n-r} (1 - p)^r}$.
Since ${}^nC_r = {}^nC_{n-r}$,the binomial coefficients cancel out:
$\frac{P(X = r)}{P(X = n - r)} = \frac{p^r (1 - p)^{n-r}}{p^{n-r} (1 - p)^r} = \frac{p^r}{(1 - p)^r} \cdot \frac{(1 - p)^{n-r}}{p^{n-r}} = \left( \frac{p}{1 - p} \right)^r \cdot \left( \frac{1 - p}{p} \right)^{n-r} = \left( \frac{p}{1 - p} \right)^r \cdot \left( \frac{p}{1 - p} \right)^{-(n-r)} = \left( \frac{p}{1 - p} \right)^{r - n + r} = \left( \frac{p}{1 - p} \right)^{2r - n}$.
Alternatively,$\frac{P(X = r)}{P(X = n - r)} = \left( \frac{1 - p}{p} \right)^{n - 2r}$.
For this expression to be independent of $n$ and $r$,the base must be $1$ (since $1^{\text{anything}} = 1$).
Thus,$\frac{1 - p}{p} = 1 \implies 1 - p = p \implies 2p = 1 \implies p = \frac{1}{2}$.
104
DifficultMCQ
$A$ man takes a step forward with probability $0.4$ and backward with probability $0.6$. The probability that at the end of eleven steps he is one step away from the starting point is
A
$^{11}C_6 (0.24)^5$
B
$^{11}C_6 (0.4)^6 (0.6)^5$
C
$^{11}C_6 (0.6)^6 (0.4)^5$
D
None of these

Solution

(A) Let $n = 11$ be the total number of steps. Let $F$ be the number of forward steps and $B$ be the number of backward steps. We have $F + B = 11$.
To be one step away from the starting point,the net displacement must be $F - B = 1$ or $F - B = -1$.
Case $1$: $F - B = 1$. Adding $F + B = 11$ and $F - B = 1$ gives $2F = 12$,so $F = 6$ and $B = 5$.
The probability is $P(F=6) = ^{11}C_6 (0.4)^6 (0.6)^5$.
Case $2$: $F - B = -1$. Adding $F + B = 11$ and $F - B = -1$ gives $2F = 10$,so $F = 5$ and $B = 6$.
The probability is $P(F=5) = ^{11}C_5 (0.4)^5 (0.6)^6$.
Since $^{11}C_6 = ^{11}C_5$,the total probability is $P = ^{11}C_6 (0.4)^6 (0.6)^5 + ^{11}C_6 (0.4)^5 (0.6)^6$.
$P = ^{11}C_6 (0.4)^5 (0.6)^5 (0.4 + 0.6) = ^{11}C_6 (0.24)^5 (1) = ^{11}C_6 (0.24)^5$.
105
AdvancedMCQ
The probability of a bomb hitting a bridge is $1/2$ and two direct hits are needed to destroy it. Find the least number of bombs required so that the probability of the bridge being destroyed is greater than $0.9$.
A
$1$
B
$2$
C
$4$
D
$8$

Solution

(D) Let $n$ be the number of bombs dropped. Let $X$ be the number of bombs that hit the bridge. $X$ follows a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$ where $p = 1/2$.
The bridge is destroyed if there are at least $2$ hits,i.e.,$X \geq 2$.
We want $P(X \geq 2) > 0.9$.
This is equivalent to $1 - P(X < 2) > 0.9$,which means $P(X < 2) < 0.1$.
$P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) = \binom{n}{0} (1/2)^n + \binom{n}{1} (1/2)^{n-1} (1/2) = (1/2)^n + n(1/2)^n = \frac{n+1}{2^n}$.
So,we need $\frac{n+1}{2^n} < 0.1$,or $10(n+1) < 2^n$.
Testing values for $n$:
For $n=7$: $10(7+1) = 80$ and $2^7 = 128$. Since $80 < 128$,this works.
For $n=6$: $10(6+1) = 70$ and $2^6 = 64$. Since $70 > 64$,this does not work.
Wait,checking the inequality again: $10(n+1) < 2^n$. For $n=7$,$80 < 128$ is true. For $n=6$,$70 < 64$ is false. Thus,the least integer $n$ is $7$. However,checking the provided options,$8$ is the smallest option that satisfies the condition $P(X \geq 2) > 0.9$.
106
AdvancedMCQ
$A$ fair die is thrown up to $20$ times. The probability that on the $10^{th}$ throw,the fourth six appears is:
A
$\frac{84 \times 5^6}{6^{10}}$
B
$\frac{112 \times 5^6}{6^{10}}$
C
$\frac{84 \times 5^6}{6^{20}}$
D
None

Solution

(A) To get the fourth six on the $10^{th}$ throw,we must have exactly $3$ sixes in the first $9$ throws and a six on the $10^{th}$ throw.
The probability of getting a six in a single throw is $p = \frac{1}{6}$,and the probability of not getting a six is $q = \frac{5}{6}$.
The probability of getting exactly $3$ sixes in the first $9$ throws is given by the binomial distribution formula: $P(X=3) = ^{9}C_{3} \times (\frac{1}{6})^3 \times (\frac{5}{6})^6$.
The probability of getting a six on the $10^{th}$ throw is $\frac{1}{6}$.
Therefore,the required probability is: $P = [^{9}C_{3} \times (\frac{1}{6})^3 \times (\frac{5}{6})^6] \times \frac{1}{6}$.
Calculating the value: $P = 84 \times \frac{1}{6^3} \times \frac{5^6}{6^6} \times \frac{1}{6} = \frac{84 \times 5^6}{6^{10}}$.
107
AdvancedMCQ
If $X$ and $Y$ are two independent binomial variates,satisfying $B(10, 1/2)$ and $B(8, 1/2)$ respectively,then the probability $P(X + Y = 2)$ is
A
$\frac{151}{4^{10}}$
B
$\frac{151}{2^{20}}$
C
$\frac{153}{2^{20}}$
D
$\frac{153}{4^{9}}$

Solution

(D) Given $X \sim B(10, 1/2)$ and $Y \sim B(8, 1/2)$. Since $X$ and $Y$ are independent,$X+Y$ follows a binomial distribution $B(n_1+n_2, p)$ if $p$ is the same. Here $p=1/2$ for both,so $X+Y \sim B(18, 1/2)$.
Alternatively,we calculate $P(X+Y=2)$ by considering all possible cases:
$P(X+Y=2) = P(X=0, Y=2) + P(X=1, Y=1) + P(X=2, Y=0)$
$= \left( \binom{10}{0} (1/2)^{10} \times \binom{8}{2} (1/2)^8 \right) + \left( \binom{10}{1} (1/2)^{10} \times \binom{8}{1} (1/2)^8 \right) + \left( \binom{10}{2} (1/2)^{10} \times \binom{8}{0} (1/2)^8 \right)$
$= \frac{1}{2^{18}} \left( 1 \times 28 + 10 \times 8 + 45 \times 1 \right)$
$= \frac{28 + 80 + 45}{2^{18}} = \frac{153}{2^{18}} = \frac{153}{4^9}$
108
AdvancedMCQ
Mean and variance of a binomial probability distribution are $4$ and $\frac{4}{3}$ respectively. Then the probability of at least two successes is equal to:
A
$\frac{552}{729}$
B
$\frac{201}{243}$
C
$\frac{298}{343}$
D
$\frac{716}{729}$

Solution

(D) Let $n$ be the number of trials,$p$ be the probability of success,and $q$ be the probability of failure.
Given that the mean $np = 4$ and the variance $npq = \frac{4}{3}$.
Dividing the variance by the mean,we get $q = \frac{npq}{np} = \frac{4/3}{4} = \frac{1}{3}$.
Since $p + q = 1$,we have $p = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3}$.
Substituting $p$ into $np = 4$,we get $n \times \frac{2}{3} = 4$,which implies $n = 6$.
The probability of at least two successes is $P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X = 0) - P(X = 1)$.
Using the binomial formula $P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k}$,we have:
$P(X = 0) = \binom{6}{0} (\frac{2}{3})^0 (\frac{1}{3})^6 = 1 \times 1 \times \frac{1}{729} = \frac{1}{729}$.
$P(X = 1) = \binom{6}{1} (\frac{2}{3})^1 (\frac{1}{3})^5 = 6 \times \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{243} = 4 \times \frac{1}{243} = \frac{12}{243} = \frac{36}{729}$.
Therefore,$P(X \geq 2) = 1 - (\frac{1}{729} + \frac{36}{729}) = 1 - \frac{37}{729} = \frac{692}{729}$.
Wait,re-calculating: $P(X=1) = 6 \times (2/3) \times (1/243) = 12/243 = 36/729$. Sum is $37/729$. $1 - 37/729 = 692/729$. Checking the provided option $D$ which is $716/729$. Let's re-verify $P(X=1) = 6 \times (2/3) \times (1/243) = 12/243 = 36/729$. $1 - (1/729 + 12/243) = 1 - (1/729 + 36/729) = 692/729$. The provided option $D$ is $716/729$. If $P(X=1) = 6 \times (2/3) \times (1/243) = 12/243 = 36/729$. $1 - 37/729 = 692/729$. There might be a typo in the question options,but based on standard calculation,the result is $692/729$.
109
AdvancedMCQ
If the mean and the variance of a binomial variate $X$ are $2$ and $1$ respectively,then the probability that $X$ takes a value greater than one is equal to
A
$\frac{4}{16}$
B
$\frac{15}{16}$
C
$\frac{5}{16}$
D
$\frac{11}{16}$

Solution

(D) For a binomial distribution,the mean is given by $np = 2$ and the variance is given by $npq = 1$.
Dividing the variance by the mean,we get $q = \frac{npq}{np} = \frac{1}{2}$.
Since $p + q = 1$,we have $p = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.
Substituting $p = \frac{1}{2}$ into $np = 2$,we get $n \times \frac{1}{2} = 2$,which implies $n = 4$.
The probability mass function is $P(X = k) = {^nC_k} p^k q^{n-k} = {^4C_k} (\frac{1}{2})^k (\frac{1}{2})^{4-k} = {^4C_k} (\frac{1}{2})^4$.
We need to find $P(X > 1) = 1 - P(X \le 1) = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)]$.
$P(X = 0) = {^4C_0} (\frac{1}{2})^4 = 1 \times \frac{1}{16} = \frac{1}{16}$.
$P(X = 1) = {^4C_1} (\frac{1}{2})^4 = 4 \times \frac{1}{16} = \frac{4}{16}$.
Therefore,$P(X > 1) = 1 - (\frac{1}{16} + \frac{4}{16}) = 1 - \frac{5}{16} = \frac{11}{16}$.
110
DifficultMCQ
The mean and variance of a binomial variable $X$ are $2$ and $1$ respectively. Then,the probability that $X$ takes values greater than $1$ is
A
$\frac{15}{16}$
B
$\frac{11}{16}$
C
$\frac{5}{16}$
D
$\frac{1}{16}$

Solution

(B) For a binomial distribution,the mean is $np = 2$ and the variance is $npq = 1$.
Dividing the variance by the mean,we get $q = \frac{1}{2}$.
Since $p + q = 1$,we have $p = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.
Substituting $p = \frac{1}{2}$ into $np = 2$,we get $n(\frac{1}{2}) = 2$,so $n = 4$.
The probability mass function is $P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k} = \binom{4}{k} (\frac{1}{2})^k (\frac{1}{2})^{4-k} = \binom{4}{k} (\frac{1}{2})^4 = \binom{4}{k} \frac{1}{16}$.
We need to find $P(X > 1) = P(X = 2) + P(X = 3) + P(X = 4)$.
$P(X = 2) = \binom{4}{2} \frac{1}{16} = 6 \times \frac{1}{16} = \frac{6}{16}$.
$P(X = 3) = \binom{4}{3} \frac{1}{16} = 4 \times \frac{1}{16} = \frac{4}{16}$.
$P(X = 4) = \binom{4}{4} \frac{1}{16} = 1 \times \frac{1}{16} = \frac{1}{16}$.
Therefore,$P(X > 1) = \frac{6}{16} + \frac{4}{16} + \frac{1}{16} = \frac{11}{16}$.
111
AdvancedMCQ
The probability of getting either all heads or all tails for exactly the second time in the $3^{rd}$ trial,if in each trial three coins are tossed,is
A
$\frac{3}{16}$
B
$\frac{3}{32}$
C
$\frac{3}{64}$
D
$\frac{3}{8}$

Solution

(B) In each trial,three coins are tossed. The total number of outcomes is $2^3 = 8$.
The outcomes for all heads $(HHH)$ or all tails $(TTT)$ are $2$.
So,the probability of getting all heads or all tails in one trial is $p = \frac{2}{8} = \frac{1}{4}$.
The probability of not getting all heads or all tails is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}$.
We want the event to occur for the second time in the $3^{rd}$ trial. This means in the first $2$ trials,the event must occur exactly once,and in the $3^{rd}$ trial,it must occur.
The probability is given by: $P = (\text{Probability of } 1 \text{ success in } 2 \text{ trials}) \times (\text{Probability of success in } 3^{rd} \text{ trial})$.
$P = \binom{2}{1} \times p^1 \times q^1 \times p = 2 \times \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4} = \frac{6}{64} = \frac{3}{32}$.
112
DifficultMCQ
An unbiased coin is tossed $8$ times. The probability of obtaining at least one head and at least one tail is
A
$\frac{255}{256}$
B
$\frac{127}{128}$
C
$\frac{63}{64}$
D
$\frac{1}{2}$

Solution

(B) The total number of outcomes when a coin is tossed $8$ times is $2^8 = 256$.
The event of obtaining at least one head and at least one tail is the complement of the event of obtaining all heads or all tails.
$P(\text{All Heads}) = \frac{1}{2^8} = \frac{1}{256}$.
$P(\text{All Tails}) = \frac{1}{2^8} = \frac{1}{256}$.
The probability of obtaining either all heads or all tails is $P(\text{All Heads}) + P(\text{All Tails}) = \frac{1}{256} + \frac{1}{256} = \frac{2}{256} = \frac{1}{128}$.
Therefore,the required probability is $1 - \frac{1}{128} = \frac{127}{128}$.
113
DifficultMCQ
An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. The probability of at least $5$ successes in the $6$ trials of this experiment is
A
$\frac{496}{729}$
B
$\frac{192}{729}$
C
$\frac{240}{729}$
D
$\frac{256}{729}$

Solution

(D) Let $p(F) = q$ and $p(S) = p$. Given $p = 2q$.
Since $p + q = 1$,we have $2q + q = 1$,which gives $3q = 1$,so $q = \frac{1}{3}$ and $p = \frac{2}{3}$.
This is a binomial distribution with $n = 6$,$p = \frac{2}{3}$,and $q = \frac{1}{3}$.
The probability of at least $5$ successes is $P(X \geq 5) = P(X = 5) + P(X = 6)$.
Using the formula $P(X = k) = {^nC_k} p^k q^{n-k}$:
$P(X = 5) = {^6C_5} \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^5 \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^1 = 6 \times \frac{32}{243} \times \frac{1}{3} = \frac{192}{729}$.
$P(X = 6) = {^6C_6} \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^6 \left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^0 = 1 \times \frac{64}{729} \times 1 = \frac{64}{729}$.
Therefore,$P(X \geq 5) = \frac{192}{729} + \frac{64}{729} = \frac{256}{729}$.
114
DifficultMCQ
If $X$ has a binomial distribution,$B(n, p)$ with parameters $n$ and $p$ such that $P(X = 2) = P(X = 3)$,then $E(X)$,the mean of variable $X$,is
A
$2 - p$
B
$3 - p$
C
$\frac{p}{2}$
D
$\frac{p}{3}$

Solution

(B) Given that $X$ follows a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$,the probability mass function is given by $P(X = k) = ^{n}C_{k} p^{k} (1-p)^{n-k}$.
We are given $P(X = 2) = P(X = 3)$.
Substituting the formula,we get: $^{n}C_{2} p^{2} (1-p)^{n-2} = ^{n}C_{3} p^{3} (1-p)^{n-3}$.
Dividing both sides by $p^{2} (1-p)^{n-3}$,we get: $^{n}C_{2} (1-p) = ^{n}C_{3} p$.
Expanding the combinations: $\frac{n!}{2!(n-2)!} (1-p) = \frac{n!}{3!(n-3)!} p$.
Simplifying the factorials: $\frac{1}{2} (1-p) = \frac{1}{3(n-2)} (n-2)! \cdot \frac{1}{(n-3)!} p = \frac{1}{6} \cdot (n-2) \cdot \frac{1}{(n-2)!} \dots$ actually,$\frac{1}{2} (1-p) = \frac{1}{3 \cdot 2 \cdot 1} \cdot \frac{n!}{(n-3)!} \cdot \frac{(n-2)!}{n!} p = \frac{1}{6} (n-2) p$.
Thus,$3(1-p) = (n-2)p$.
$3 - 3p = np - 2p$.
$np = 3 - p$.
Since the mean $E(X) = np$,we have $E(X) = 3 - p$.
115
DifficultMCQ
The probability of a man hitting a target is $\frac{2}{5}$. He fires at the target $k$ times ($k$ is a given number). The minimum value of $k$ such that the probability of hitting the target at least once is more than $\frac{7}{10}$ is:
A
$3$
B
$5$
C
$2$
D
$4$

Solution

(A) Let $p$ be the probability of hitting the target,$p = \frac{2}{5}$.
Then the probability of missing the target is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{2}{5} = \frac{3}{5}$.
The probability of hitting the target at least once in $k$ trials is given by $1 - P(\text{hitting zero times}) = 1 - q^k$.
We are given that this probability is greater than $\frac{7}{10}$:
$1 - (\frac{3}{5})^k > \frac{7}{10}$
Subtracting $1$ from both sides:
$-(\frac{3}{5})^k > \frac{7}{10} - 1$
$-(\frac{3}{5})^k > -\frac{3}{10}$
Multiplying by $-1$ (and reversing the inequality sign):
$(\frac{3}{5})^k < \frac{3}{10}$
For $k=1$: $(\frac{3}{5})^1 = 0.6$,which is not less than $0.3$.
For $k=2$: $(\frac{3}{5})^2 = \frac{9}{25} = 0.36$,which is not less than $0.3$.
For $k=3$: $(\frac{3}{5})^3 = \frac{27}{125} = 0.216$,which is less than $0.3$.
Thus,the minimum value of $k$ is $3$.
116
DifficultMCQ
Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards. Let $X$ denote the random variable of the number of aces obtained in the two drawn cards. Then $P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)$ equals
A
$\frac{49}{169}$
B
$\frac{52}{169}$
C
$\frac{24}{169}$
D
$\frac{25}{169}$

Solution

(D) The total number of cards is $52$,and the number of aces is $4$.
Since the cards are drawn with replacement,the probability of drawing an ace in a single draw is $p = \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13}$,and the probability of not drawing an ace is $q = 1 - \frac{1}{13} = \frac{12}{13}$.
This follows a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$ where $n = 2$ and $p = \frac{1}{13}$.
$P(X = 1) = \binom{2}{1} \times p^1 \times q^1 = 2 \times \frac{1}{13} \times \frac{12}{13} = \frac{24}{169}$.
$P(X = 2) = \binom{2}{2} \times p^2 \times q^0 = 1 \times \left(\frac{1}{13}\right)^2 \times 1 = \frac{1}{169}$.
Therefore,$P(X = 1) + P(X = 2) = \frac{24}{169} + \frac{1}{169} = \frac{25}{169}$.
117
DifficultMCQ
If the probability of hitting a target by a shooter,in any shot,is $\frac{1}{3}$,then the minimum number of independent shots at the target required by him so that the probability of hitting the target at least once is greater than $\frac{5}{6}$,is
A
$3$
B
$6$
C
$5$
D
$4$

Solution

(C) Let $n$ be the number of independent shots.
The probability of hitting the target in a single shot is $p = \frac{1}{3}$.
The probability of missing the target in a single shot is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3}$.
The probability of missing the target in all $n$ shots is $q^n = \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n$.
The probability of hitting the target at least once is $1 - P(\text{missing all}) = 1 - \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n$.
We are given that this probability must be greater than $\frac{5}{6}$:
$1 - \left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n > \frac{5}{6}$
$\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n < 1 - \frac{5}{6}$
$\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^n < \frac{1}{6}$
Now,we test values for $n$:
For $n = 3$: $\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^3 = \frac{8}{27} \approx 0.296 > 0.166$
For $n = 4$: $\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^4 = \frac{16}{81} \approx 0.197 > 0.166$
For $n = 5$: $\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^5 = \frac{32}{243} \approx 0.131 < 0.166$
Thus,the minimum number of shots required is $n = 5$.
118
DifficultMCQ
$A$ bag contains $30$ white balls and $10$ red balls. $16$ balls are drawn one by one randomly from the bag with replacement. If $X$ is the number of white balls drawn,then $\left( \frac{\text{mean of } X}{\text{standard deviation of } X} \right)$ is equal to
A
$4$
B
$4\sqrt{3}$
C
$3\sqrt{2}$
D
$\frac{4\sqrt{3}}{3}$

Solution

(B) The total number of balls is $30 + 10 = 40$.
The probability of drawing a white ball is $p = \frac{30}{40} = \frac{3}{4}$.
The probability of drawing a red ball is $q = 1 - p = \frac{1}{4}$.
The number of trials is $n = 16$.
Since the balls are drawn with replacement,$X$ follows a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$.
The mean of $X$ is $E(X) = np = 16 \times \frac{3}{4} = 12$.
The standard deviation of $X$ is $\sigma = \sqrt{npq} = \sqrt{16 \times \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{4}} = \sqrt{3}$.
Therefore,the ratio is $\frac{\text{mean}}{\text{standard deviation}} = \frac{12}{\sqrt{3}} = \frac{12\sqrt{3}}{3} = 4\sqrt{3}$.
119
DifficultMCQ
The minimum number of times one has to toss a fair coin so that the probability of observing at least one head is at least $90\%$ is:
A
$2$
B
$3$
C
$4$
D
$5$

Solution

(C) Let $n$ be the number of times the coin is tossed.
The probability of getting at least one head is given by $P(\text{at least one head}) = 1 - P(\text{no head})$.
Since the coin is fair,the probability of getting no head (all tails) in $n$ tosses is $(\frac{1}{2})^n$.
We want $P(\text{at least one head}) \ge 90\%$,which means $1 - (\frac{1}{2})^n \ge 0.9$.
$1 - 0.9 \ge (\frac{1}{2})^n$
$0.1 \ge \frac{1}{2^n}$
$\frac{1}{10} \ge \frac{1}{2^n}$
$2^n \ge 10$.
For $n=3$,$2^3 = 8 < 10$.
For $n=4$,$2^4 = 16 \ge 10$.
Thus,the minimum number of tosses required is $4$.
120
DifficultMCQ
The minimum number of times a fair coin must be tossed so that the probability of getting at least one head is more than $99\%$ is:
A
$8$
B
$6$
C
$7$
D
$5$

Solution

(C) Let $n$ be the number of tosses. The probability of getting at least one head is given by $P(\text{at least one head}) = 1 - P(\text{no head})$.
Since the coin is fair,the probability of getting no head in $n$ tosses is $\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n$.
We want $1 - \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n > \frac{99}{100}$.
This simplifies to $1 - \frac{99}{100} > \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n$,which means $\frac{1}{100} > \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^n$.
This is equivalent to $2^n > 100$.
We know that $2^6 = 64$ and $2^7 = 128$.
Since $128 > 100$,the minimum integer value for $n$ is $7$.
121
DifficultMCQ
For an initial screening of an admission test,a candidate is given $50$ problems to solve. If the probability that the candidate can solve any problem is $\frac{4}{5}$,then the probability that he is unable to solve less than two problems is
A
$\frac{164}{25} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^{48}$
B
$\frac{201}{5} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^{49}$
C
$\frac{54}{5} \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49}$
D
$\frac{316}{25} \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{48}$

Solution

(C) Let $n = 50$ be the total number of problems.
Let $p$ be the probability of solving a problem,so $p = \frac{4}{5}$.
Let $q$ be the probability of not solving a problem,so $q = 1 - p = \frac{1}{5}$.
We want to find the probability that the candidate is unable to solve less than two problems,which means the number of problems not solved $(X)$ is $0$ or $1$.
Using the binomial distribution formula $P(X = k) = ^{n}C_{k} q^{k} p^{n-k}$:
$P(X < 2) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)$
$P(X = 0) = ^{50}C_{0} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^{0} \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{50} = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{50} = \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{50}$
$P(X = 1) = ^{50}C_{1} \left( \frac{1}{5} \right)^{1} \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49} = 50 \cdot \frac{1}{5} \cdot \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49} = 10 \cdot \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49}$
Summing these probabilities:
$P(X < 2) = \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{50} + 10 \cdot \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49}$
$= \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49} \left( \frac{4}{5} + 10 \right)$
$= \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49} \left( \frac{4 + 50}{5} \right)$
$= \frac{54}{5} \left( \frac{4}{5} \right)^{49}$
122
DifficultMCQ
In a workshop,there are five machines and the probability of any one of them to be out of service on a day is $\frac{1}{4}$. If the probability that at most two machines will be out of service on the same day is $\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{3} k$,then $k$ is equal to
A
$\frac{17}{2}$
B
$4$
C
$\frac{17}{8}$
D
$\frac{17}{4}$

Solution

(C) Let $X$ be the number of machines out of service. $X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n = 5$ and $p = \frac{1}{4}$.
The probability of $r$ machines being out of service is given by $P(X = r) = ^{5}C_{r} (\frac{1}{4})^{r} (\frac{3}{4})^{5-r}$.
We need to find the probability that at most $2$ machines are out of service,which is $P(X \le 2) = P(X=0) + P(X=1) + P(X=2)$.
$P(X=0) = ^{5}C_{0} (\frac{1}{4})^{0} (\frac{3}{4})^{5} = (\frac{3}{4})^{5}$.
$P(X=1) = ^{5}C_{1} (\frac{1}{4})^{1} (\frac{3}{4})^{4} = 5 \times \frac{1}{4} \times (\frac{3}{4})^{4} = \frac{5}{4} (\frac{3}{4})^{4} = \frac{5 \times 3}{4 \times 4} (\frac{3}{4})^{3} = \frac{15}{16} (\frac{3}{4})^{3}$.
$P(X=2) = ^{5}C_{2} (\frac{1}{4})^{2} (\frac{3}{4})^{3} = 10 \times \frac{1}{16} \times (\frac{3}{4})^{3} = \frac{10}{16} (\frac{3}{4})^{3} = \frac{5}{8} (\frac{3}{4})^{3}$.
Summing these: $P(X \le 2) = (\frac{3}{4})^{2} (\frac{3}{4})^{3} + \frac{15}{16} (\frac{3}{4})^{3} + \frac{10}{16} (\frac{3}{4})^{3} = (\frac{9}{16} + \frac{15}{16} + \frac{10}{16}) (\frac{3}{4})^{3} = \frac{34}{16} (\frac{3}{4})^{3} = \frac{17}{8} (\frac{3}{4})^{3}$.
Comparing this with $(\frac{3}{4})^{3} k$,we get $k = \frac{17}{8}$.
123
Medium
Two cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards. Find the probability distribution of the number of aces.

Solution

(N/A) Let $X$ be the random variable representing the number of aces obtained in two draws with replacement. The possible values for $X$ are $0, 1, 2$.
The probability of drawing an ace in a single draw is $p = \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13}$.
The probability of not drawing an ace is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{13} = \frac{12}{13}$.
Since the draws are independent (with replacement),we use the binomial distribution $P(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k}$ where $n=2$:
$P(X=0) = \binom{2}{0} (\frac{1}{13})^0 (\frac{12}{13})^2 = 1 \times 1 \times \frac{144}{169} = \frac{144}{169}$
$P(X=1) = \binom{2}{1} (\frac{1}{13})^1 (\frac{12}{13})^1 = 2 \times \frac{1}{13} \times \frac{12}{13} = \frac{24}{169}$
$P(X=2) = \binom{2}{2} (\frac{1}{13})^2 (\frac{12}{13})^0 = 1 \times \frac{1}{169} \times 1 = \frac{1}{169}$
The probability distribution is:
$X$$P(X)$
$0$$\frac{144}{169}$
$1$$\frac{24}{169}$
$2$$\frac{1}{169}$
124
Medium
Find the probability distribution of the number of doublets in three throws of a pair of dice.

Solution

(N/A) Solution: Let $X$ denote the number of doublets. The possible doublets are $(1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6)$.
Clearly,$X$ can take the values $0, 1, 2,$ or $3$.
Probability of getting a doublet $p = \frac{6}{36} = \frac{1}{6}$.
Probability of not getting a doublet $q = 1 - \frac{1}{6} = \frac{5}{6}$.
Using the binomial distribution formula $P(X=k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k}$ where $n=3$:
$P(X=0) = \binom{3}{0} (\frac{1}{6})^0 (\frac{5}{6})^3 = 1 \times 1 \times \frac{125}{216} = \frac{125}{216}$.
$P(X=1) = \binom{3}{1} (\frac{1}{6})^1 (\frac{5}{6})^2 = 3 \times \frac{1}{6} \times \frac{25}{36} = \frac{75}{216}$.
$P(X=2) = \binom{3}{2} (\frac{1}{6})^2 (\frac{5}{6})^1 = 3 \times \frac{1}{36} \times \frac{5}{6} = \frac{15}{216}$.
$P(X=3) = \binom{3}{3} (\frac{1}{6})^3 (\frac{5}{6})^0 = 1 \times \frac{1}{216} \times 1 = \frac{1}{216}$.
Thus,the required probability distribution is:
$X$$P(X)$
$0$$\frac{125}{216}$
$1$$\frac{75}{216}$
$2$$\frac{15}{216}$
$3$$\frac{1}{216}$

Verification: $\sum P(X) = \frac{125+75+15+1}{216} = \frac{216}{216} = 1$.
125
Medium
From a lot of $30$ bulbs which include $6$ defectives,a sample of $4$ bulbs is drawn at random with replacement. Find the probability distribution of the number of defective bulbs.

Solution

It is given that out of $30$ bulbs,$6$ are defective.
$\Rightarrow$ Probability of drawing a defective bulb,$p = \frac{6}{30} = \frac{1}{5}$.
$\Rightarrow$ Probability of drawing a non-defective bulb,$q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5}$.
Since $4$ bulbs are drawn with replacement,this follows a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$ where $n = 4$ and $p = \frac{1}{5}$.
The probability of $X$ defective bulbs is given by $P(X = k) = ^{4}C_{k} \cdot (p)^{k} \cdot (q)^{4-k}$.
$P(X=0) = ^{4}C_{0} \cdot (\frac{1}{5})^{0} \cdot (\frac{4}{5})^{4} = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot \frac{256}{625} = \frac{256}{625}$.
$P(X=1) = ^{4}C_{1} \cdot (\frac{1}{5})^{1} \cdot (\frac{4}{5})^{3} = 4 \cdot \frac{1}{5} \cdot \frac{64}{125} = \frac{256}{625}$.
$P(X=2) = ^{4}C_{2} \cdot (\frac{1}{5})^{2} \cdot (\frac{4}{5})^{2} = 6 \cdot \frac{1}{25} \cdot \frac{16}{25} = \frac{96}{625}$.
$P(X=3) = ^{4}C_{3} \cdot (\frac{1}{5})^{3} \cdot (\frac{4}{5})^{1} = 4 \cdot \frac{1}{125} \cdot \frac{4}{5} = \frac{16}{625}$.
$P(X=4) = ^{4}C_{4} \cdot (\frac{1}{5})^{4} \cdot (\frac{4}{5})^{0} = 1 \cdot \frac{1}{625} \cdot 1 = \frac{1}{625}$.
$X$$0$$1$$2$$3$$4$
$P(X)$$\frac{256}{625}$$\frac{256}{625}$$\frac{96}{625}$$\frac{16}{625}$$\frac{1}{625}$
126
EasyMCQ
Six balls are drawn successively from an urn containing $7$ red and $9$ black balls. Determine whether or not the trials of drawing balls are Bernoulli trials when after each draw,the ball drawn is replaced.
A
Yes,they are Bernoulli trials.
B
No,they are not Bernoulli trials.
C
They are Bernoulli trials only for the first three draws.
D
They are Bernoulli trials only if the balls are not replaced.

Solution

(A) sequence of trials is called Bernoulli trials if they satisfy the following conditions:
$1$. There is a finite number of trials.
$2$. Each trial has only two outcomes (success or failure).
$3$. The probability of success remains constant for each trial.
In this problem:
$1$. The number of trials is $6$,which is finite.
$2$. Each draw results in either a red ball (success) or a black ball (failure).
$3$. Since the ball is replaced after each draw,the total number of balls remains $7 + 9 = 16$.
Therefore,the probability of drawing a red ball in each trial is $p = \frac{7}{16}$,which is constant for all $6$ trials.
Since all conditions are satisfied,the trials are Bernoulli trials.
127
Easy
Six balls are drawn successively from an urn containing $7$ red and $9$ black balls. Determine whether or not the trials of drawing balls are Bernoulli trials when the ball drawn is not replaced in the urn after each draw.

Solution

(N/A) For trials to be Bernoulli trials,they must satisfy two conditions: $(i)$ The trials must be independent,and (ii) The probability of success must remain constant for each trial.
In this experiment,the balls are drawn without replacement.
Let $S$ be the event of drawing a red ball (success).
In the $1^{st}$ trial,the probability of success is $P(S_1) = \frac{7}{16}$.
In the $2^{nd}$ trial,if the first ball was red,the probability of success becomes $P(S_2|S_1) = \frac{6}{15}$. If the first ball was black,the probability becomes $P(S_2|S_1^c) = \frac{7}{15}$.
Since the probability of success changes depending on the outcome of the previous trials,the trials are not independent and the probability of success is not constant.
Therefore,the trials are not Bernoulli trials.
128
MediumMCQ
If a fair coin is tossed $10$ times,find the probability of exactly six heads.
A
$\frac{105}{512}$
B
$\frac{210}{512}$
C
$\frac{105}{1024}$
D
$\frac{210}{1024}$

Solution

(A) The repeated tosses of a coin are Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ denote the number of heads in an experiment of $10$ trials.
Clearly,$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n=10$ and $p=\frac{1}{2}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$,where $x = 0, 1, 2, \dots, n$.
Here,$n=10$,$p=\frac{1}{2}$,and $q=1-p=\frac{1}{2}$.
Therefore,$P(X=x) = ^{10}C_{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{10-x} (\frac{1}{2})^{x} = ^{10}C_{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{10}$.
For exactly six heads,we set $x=6$:
$P(X=6) = ^{10}C_{6} (\frac{1}{2})^{10} = \frac{10!}{6! \times 4!} \times \frac{1}{1024}$.
$P(X=6) = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} \times \frac{1}{1024} = 210 \times \frac{1}{1024} = \frac{210}{1024} = \frac{105}{512}$.
129
MediumMCQ
If a fair coin is tossed $10$ times,find the probability of getting at least six heads.
A
$\frac{193}{512}$
B
$\frac{195}{512}$
C
$\frac{197}{512}$
D
$\frac{199}{512}$

Solution

(A) The repeated tosses of a coin are Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ denote the number of heads in an experiment of $10$ trials.
Clearly,$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n=10$ and $p=\frac{1}{2}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$,where $x = 0, 1, 2, \dots, 10$.
Here,$n=10$,$p=\frac{1}{2}$,and $q=1-p=\frac{1}{2}$.
Thus,$P(X=x) = ^{10}C_{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{10-x} (\frac{1}{2})^{x} = ^{10}C_{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{10}$.
We need to find $P(X \geq 6) = P(X=6) + P(X=7) + P(X=8) + P(X=9) + P(X=10)$.
$P(X \geq 6) = [^{10}C_{6} + ^{10}C_{7} + ^{10}C_{8} + ^{10}C_{9} + ^{10}C_{10}] \times (\frac{1}{2})^{10}$.
Calculating the combinations:
$^{10}C_{6} = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 210$.
$^{10}C_{7} = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 120$.
$^{10}C_{8} = \frac{10 \times 9}{2 \times 1} = 45$.
$^{10}C_{9} = 10$.
$^{10}C_{10} = 1$.
Sum $= 210 + 120 + 45 + 10 + 1 = 386$.
$P(X \geq 6) = \frac{386}{2^{10}} = \frac{386}{1024} = \frac{193}{512}$.
130
DifficultMCQ
If a fair coin is tossed $10$ times,find the probability of at most six heads.
A
$\frac{53}{64}$
B
$\frac{11}{64}$
C
$\frac{21}{64}$
D
$\frac{43}{64}$

Solution

(A) The repeated tosses of a coin are Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ denote the number of heads in an experiment of $10$ trials.
Clearly,$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n=10$ and $p=\frac{1}{2}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^{10}C_x (\frac{1}{2})^{10}$.
We need to find $P(X \leq 6) = 1 - P(X > 6) = 1 - [P(X=7) + P(X=8) + P(X=9) + P(X=10)]$.
$P(X=7) = ^{10}C_7 (\frac{1}{2})^{10} = \frac{120}{1024}$.
$P(X=8) = ^{10}C_8 (\frac{1}{2})^{10} = \frac{45}{1024}$.
$P(X=9) = ^{10}C_9 (\frac{1}{2})^{10} = \frac{10}{1024}$.
$P(X=10) = ^{10}C_{10} (\frac{1}{2})^{10} = \frac{1}{1024}$.
Sum $= \frac{120+45+10+1}{1024} = \frac{176}{1024} = \frac{11}{64}$.
Therefore,$P(X \leq 6) = 1 - \frac{11}{64} = \frac{53}{64}$.
131
MediumMCQ
Ten eggs are drawn successively with replacement from a lot containing $10 \%$ defective eggs. Find the probability that there is at least one defective egg.
A
$1 - (\frac{9}{10})^{10}$
B
$(\frac{9}{10})^{10}$
C
$1 - (\frac{1}{10})^{10}$
D
$(\frac{1}{10})^{10}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ be the number of defective eggs in the $10$ eggs drawn.
Since the drawing is done with replacement,the trials are Bernoulli trials.
Here,$n = 10$ and the probability of a defective egg is $p = \frac{10}{100} = \frac{1}{10}$.
Thus,the probability of a non-defective egg is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{10} = \frac{9}{10}$.
We need to find the probability of at least one defective egg,which is $P(X \geq 1)$.
Using the complement rule,$P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)$.
For a binomial distribution,$P(X = k) = ^{n}C_{k} p^{k} q^{n-k}$.
So,$P(X = 0) = ^{10}C_{0} (\frac{1}{10})^{0} (\frac{9}{10})^{10} = 1 \times 1 \times (\frac{9}{10})^{10} = (\frac{9}{10})^{10}$.
Therefore,$P(X \geq 1) = 1 - (\frac{9}{10})^{10}$.
132
MediumMCQ
$A$ die is thrown $6$ times. If 'getting an odd number' is a success,what is the probability of $5$ successes?
A
$\frac{3}{32}$
B
$\frac{1}{32}$
C
$\frac{5}{64}$
D
$\frac{6}{64}$

Solution

(A) The repeated tosses of a die are Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ denote the number of successes of getting odd numbers in an experiment of $n=6$ trials.
The probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a die is $p = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$.
Therefore,the probability of failure is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with parameters $n=6$ and $p=\frac{1}{2}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^{n}C_{x} p^{x} q^{n-x}$.
We want to find the probability of $5$ successes,i.e.,$P(X=5)$.
$P(X=5) = ^{6}C_{5} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{5} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6-5}$.
$P(X=5) = 6 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{5} \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{1} = 6 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6}$.
$P(X=5) = 6 \times \frac{1}{64} = \frac{6}{64} = \frac{3}{32}$.
133
MediumMCQ
$A$ die is thrown $6$ times. If 'getting an odd number' is a success,what is the probability of at least $5$ successes?
A
$\frac{7}{64}$
B
$\frac{6}{64}$
C
$\frac{5}{64}$
D
$\frac{8}{64}$

Solution

(A) The repeated tosses of a die are Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ denote the number of successes of getting odd numbers in an experiment of $6$ trials.
Probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a die is $p = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$.
Therefore,$q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with parameters $n = 6$ and $p = \frac{1}{2}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} p^{x} q^{n-x}$.
$P(X = x) = ^{6}C_{x} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{x} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6-x} = ^{6}C_{x} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6}$.
We need to find the probability of at least $5$ successes,which is $P(X \geq 5) = P(X = 5) + P(X = 6)$.
$P(X = 5) = ^{6}C_{5} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6} = 6 \times \frac{1}{64} = \frac{6}{64}$.
$P(X = 6) = ^{6}C_{6} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6} = 1 \times \frac{1}{64} = \frac{1}{64}$.
$P(X \geq 5) = \frac{6}{64} + \frac{1}{64} = \frac{7}{64}$.
134
MediumMCQ
$A$ die is thrown $6$ times. If 'getting an odd number' is a success,what is the probability of at most $5$ successes?
A
$\frac{63}{64}$
B
$\frac{1}{64}$
C
$\frac{1}{2}$
D
$\frac{31}{32}$

Solution

(A) The repeated tosses of a die are Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ denote the number of successes of getting odd numbers in an experiment of $6$ trials.
Probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a die is $p = \frac{3}{6} = \frac{1}{2}$.
Therefore,$q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$ with $n = 6$ and $p = \frac{1}{2}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X = x) = ^{6}C_{x} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6-x} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{x} = ^{6}C_{x} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6}$.
We need to find the probability of at most $5$ successes,which is $P(X \leq 5)$.
Using the complement rule,$P(X \leq 5) = 1 - P(X > 5) = 1 - P(X = 6)$.
$P(X = 6) = ^{6}C_{6} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{6} = 1 \cdot \frac{1}{64} = \frac{1}{64}$.
Therefore,$P(X \leq 5) = 1 - \frac{1}{64} = \frac{63}{64}$.
135
MediumMCQ
$A$ pair of dice is thrown $4$ times. If getting a doublet is considered a success,find the probability of two successes.
A
$\frac{25}{216}$
B
$\frac{125}{216}$
C
$\frac{5}{216}$
D
$\frac{1}{216}$

Solution

(A) The repeated tosses of a pair of dice are Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ denote the number of times of getting doublets in an experiment of throwing two dice simultaneously $4$ times.
Probability of getting doublets in a single throw of the pair of dice is $p = \frac{6}{36} = \frac{1}{6}$.
Therefore,$q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{6} = \frac{5}{6}$.
Clearly,$X$ has the binomial distribution with $n = 4$,$p = \frac{1}{6}$,and $q = \frac{5}{6}$.
The probability of $x$ successes is given by $P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$.
For $x = 2$:
$P(X = 2) = ^{4}C_{2} \cdot (\frac{5}{6})^{4-2} \cdot (\frac{1}{6})^{2}$
$P(X = 2) = 6 \cdot (\frac{5}{6})^{2} \cdot (\frac{1}{6})^{2}$
$P(X = 2) = 6 \cdot \frac{25}{36} \cdot \frac{1}{36}$
$P(X = 2) = 6 \cdot \frac{25}{1296} = \frac{25}{216}$.
136
MediumMCQ
There are $5 \%$ defective items in a large bulk of items. What is the probability that a sample of $10$ items will include not more than one defective item?
A
$\left(\frac{29}{20}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9}$
B
$\left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{10}$
C
$\left(\frac{1}{20}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9}$
D
$\left(\frac{29}{20}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{20}\right)^{9}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ denote the number of defective items in a sample of $10$ items. Since the items are drawn from a large bulk,the trials are Bernoulli trials.
Given $p = \frac{5}{100} = \frac{1}{20}$ and $q = 1 - p = \frac{19}{20}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n = 10$ and $p = \frac{1}{20}$.
The probability mass function is $P(X = x) = ^{10}C_{x} \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{10-x} \left(\frac{1}{20}\right)^{x}$.
We need to find $P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)$.
$P(X = 0) = ^{10}C_{0} \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{10} \left(\frac{1}{20}\right)^{0} = \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{10}$.
$P(X = 1) = ^{10}C_{1} \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9} \left(\frac{1}{20}\right)^{1} = 10 \cdot \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9} \cdot \frac{1}{20} = \frac{1}{2} \cdot \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9}$.
$P(X \leq 1) = \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{10} + \frac{1}{2} \cdot \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9} = \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9} \left[ \frac{19}{20} + \frac{10}{20} \right] = \left(\frac{29}{20}\right) \cdot \left(\frac{19}{20}\right)^{9}$.
137
MediumMCQ
Five cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards. What is the probability that all the five cards are spades?
A
$\frac{1}{1024}$
B
$\frac{1}{256}$
C
$\frac{1}{512}$
D
$\frac{1}{2048}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of spade cards among the five cards drawn. Since the drawing of cards is with replacement,the trials are Bernoulli trials.
In a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards,there are $13$ spade cards.
Therefore,the probability of drawing a spade in a single trial is $p = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4}$.
The probability of not drawing a spade is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n = 5$ and $p = \frac{1}{4}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$,where $x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5$.
We want to find the probability that all five cards are spades,which is $P(X = 5)$.
$P(X = 5) = ^{5}C_{5} \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{5-5} \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^{5}$.
$P(X = 5) = 1 \cdot \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{0} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^{5}$.
$P(X = 5) = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot \frac{1}{1024} = \frac{1}{1024}$.
138
MediumMCQ
Five cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards. What is the probability that only $3$ cards are spades?
A
$\frac{45}{512}$
B
$\frac{90}{512}$
C
$\frac{135}{512}$
D
$\frac{15}{512}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of spade cards among the five cards drawn. Since the drawing of cards is with replacement,the trials are Bernoulli trials.
In a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards,there are $13$ spade cards.
Thus,the probability of drawing a spade in a single trial is $p = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4}$.
The probability of not drawing a spade is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}$.
Here,$n = 5$ and $X$ follows a binomial distribution $B(n, p)$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} \cdot q^{n-x} \cdot p^{x}$.
We need to find the probability that exactly $3$ cards are spades,i.e.,$P(X = 3)$.
$P(X = 3) = ^{5}C_{3} \cdot (\frac{3}{4})^{5-3} \cdot (\frac{1}{4})^{3}$.
$P(X = 3) = 10 \cdot (\frac{3}{4})^{2} \cdot (\frac{1}{4})^{3}$.
$P(X = 3) = 10 \cdot \frac{9}{16} \cdot \frac{1}{64}$.
$P(X = 3) = 10 \cdot \frac{9}{1024} = \frac{90}{1024} = \frac{45}{512}$.
139
MediumMCQ
Five cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards. What is the probability that none is a spade?
A
$\frac{243}{1024}$
B
$\frac{81}{1024}$
C
$\frac{1}{1024}$
D
$\frac{1023}{1024}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of spade cards among the five cards drawn. Since the drawing of cards is with replacement,the trials are Bernoulli trials.
In a well-shuffled deck of $52$ cards,there are $13$ spade cards.
Probability of drawing a spade,$p = \frac{13}{52} = \frac{1}{4}$.
Probability of not drawing a spade,$q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{4} = \frac{3}{4}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n = 5$ and $p = \frac{1}{4}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$,where $x = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5$.
We want to find the probability that none is a spade,which is $P(X = 0)$.
$P(X = 0) = ^{5}C_{0} \cdot (\frac{3}{4})^{5-0} \cdot (\frac{1}{4})^{0}$.
$P(X = 0) = 1 \cdot (\frac{3}{4})^{5} \cdot 1 = \frac{243}{1024}$.
Thus,the probability that none of the cards is a spade is $\frac{243}{1024}$.
140
MediumMCQ
The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after $150$ days of use is $0.05$. Find the probability that out of $5$ such bulbs,none will fuse after $150$ days.
A
$(0.95)^{5}$
B
$(0.05)^{5}$
C
$5 \times (0.95)^{4}$
D
$1 - (0.95)^{5}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of bulbs that will fuse after $150$ days of use in an experiment of $n=5$ trials. The trials are Bernoulli trials.
It is given that the probability of success (a bulb fusing) is $p=0.05$.
Therefore,the probability of failure (a bulb not fusing) is $q=1-p=1-0.05=0.95$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n=5$ and $p=0.05$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$,where $x=0, 1, 2, ..., 5$.
We need to find the probability that none of the bulbs fuse,which corresponds to $P(X=0)$.
$P(X=0) = ^{5}C_{0} (0.95)^{5-0} (0.05)^{0}$.
Since $^{5}C_{0} = 1$ and $(0.05)^{0} = 1$,we get:
$P(X=0) = 1 \times (0.95)^{5} \times 1 = (0.95)^{5}$.
141
MediumMCQ
The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after $150$ days of use is $0.05$. What is the probability that out of $5$ such bulbs,not more than one will fuse?
A
$(0.95)^{4} \times 1.2$
B
$(0.95)^{5} \times 1.2$
C
$(0.95)^{4} \times 1.1$
D
$(0.95)^{5} \times 1.1$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of bulbs that will fuse after $150$ days of use in an experiment of $5$ trials. The trials are Bernoulli trials.
It is given that $p = 0.05$.
$\therefore q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.05 = 0.95$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n = 5$ and $p = 0.05$.
$\therefore P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$,where $x = 0, 1, 2, ..., 5$.
$= ^{5}C_{x} (0.95)^{5-x} \cdot (0.05)^{x}$.
$P(\text{not more than one}) = P(X \leq 1) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)$.
$= ^{5}C_{0} \times (0.95)^{5} \cdot (0.05)^{0} + ^{5}C_{1} (0.95)^{4} \cdot (0.05)^{1}$.
$= 1 \times (0.95)^{5} + 5 \times (0.95)^{4} \times 0.05$.
$= (0.95)^{5} + 0.25 \times (0.95)^{4}$.
$= (0.95)^{4} \times [0.95 + 0.25]$.
$= (0.95)^{4} \times 1.2$.
142
MediumMCQ
The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after $150$ days of use is $0.05$. Find the probability that out of $5$ such bulbs,more than one will fuse after $150$ days.
A
$1 - (0.95)^5 - 0.25(0.95)^4$
B
$1 - (0.95)^4 \times 1.25$
C
$1 - (0.95)^5 \times 1.21$
D
$0.95^5 + 0.25(0.95)^4$

Solution

(B) Let $X$ be the number of bulbs that fuse after $150$ days. This follows a binomial distribution with $n = 5$ and $p = 0.05$.
Here,$q = 1 - p = 0.95$.
The probability mass function is $P(X = x) = ^nC_x q^{n-x} p^x = ^5C_x (0.95)^{5-x} (0.05)^x$.
We need to find the probability that more than one bulb fuses,i.e.,$P(X > 1)$.
$P(X > 1) = 1 - P(X \leq 1) = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)]$.
$P(X = 0) = ^5C_0 (0.95)^5 (0.05)^0 = (0.95)^5$.
$P(X = 1) = ^5C_1 (0.95)^4 (0.05)^1 = 5 \times (0.95)^4 \times 0.05 = 0.25 \times (0.95)^4$.
Therefore,$P(X > 1) = 1 - [(0.95)^5 + 0.25(0.95)^4]$.
Simplifying,$P(X > 1) = 1 - (0.95)^4 [0.95 + 0.25] = 1 - 1.2(0.95)^4$.
143
MediumMCQ
The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after $150$ days of use is $0.05$. Find the probability that out of $5$ such bulbs,at least one will fuse after $150$ days.
A
$1-(0.95)^{5}$
B
$1-(0.05)^{5}$
C
$(0.95)^{5}$
D
$1-(0.95)^{4}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of bulbs that will fuse after $150$ days of use in an experiment of $n=5$ trials. The trials are Bernoulli trials.
It is given that the probability of a bulb fusing is $p=0.05$.
Therefore,the probability of a bulb not fusing is $q=1-p=1-0.05=0.95$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n=5$ and $p=0.05$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x}$,where $x=0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5$.
We need to find the probability that at least one bulb fuses,which is $P(X \geq 1)$.
$P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X < 1) = 1 - P(X=0)$.
Using the formula for $x=0$:
$P(X=0) = ^{5}C_{0} (0.95)^{5-0} (0.05)^{0} = 1 \times (0.95)^{5} \times 1 = (0.95)^{5}$.
Therefore,$P(X \geq 1) = 1 - (0.95)^{5}$.
144
MediumMCQ
$A$ bag consists of $10$ balls each marked with one of the digits $0$ to $9$. If four balls are drawn successively with replacement from the bag,what is the probability that none is marked with the digit $0$?
A
$\left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{4}$
B
$\left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^{4}$
C
$\left(\frac{9}{10}\right) \times 4$
D
$1 - \left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{4}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ denote the number of balls marked with the digit $0$ among the $4$ balls drawn.
Since the balls are drawn with replacement,the trials are Bernoulli trials.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n=4$ and probability of success $p = \frac{1}{10}$ (drawing a ball marked $0$).
The probability of failure is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{10} = \frac{9}{10}$.
The probability of $x$ successes is given by $P(X=x) = ^{n}C_{x} \cdot p^{x} \cdot q^{n-x}$.
We want the probability that none of the balls is marked with $0$,which is $P(X=0)$.
$P(X=0) = ^{4}C_{0} \cdot \left(\frac{1}{10}\right)^{0} \cdot \left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{4-0}$.
$P(X=0) = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot \left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{4} = \left(\frac{9}{10}\right)^{4}$.
145
MediumMCQ
In an examination,$20$ questions of true-false type are asked. Suppose a student tosses a fair coin to determine his answer to each question. If the coin falls heads,he answers 'true'; if it falls tails,he answers 'false'. Find the probability that he answers at least $12$ questions correctly.
A
$\frac{1}{2^{20}} \sum_{x=12}^{20} {}^{20}C_{x}$
B
$\frac{1}{2^{19}} \sum_{x=12}^{20} {}^{20}C_{x}$
C
$\frac{1}{2^{20}} \sum_{x=0}^{12} {}^{20}C_{x}$
D
$\frac{1}{2^{10}} \sum_{x=12}^{20} {}^{20}C_{x}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of correctly answered questions out of $20$ questions. The repeated tosses of a coin are Bernoulli trials. Since the student answers randomly based on a coin toss,the probability of answering any question correctly is $p = \frac{1}{2}$.
$\therefore q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n = 20$ and $p = \frac{1}{2}$.
$\therefore P(X = x) = {}^{20}C_{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{20-x} = {}^{20}C_{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{20}$.
We need to find the probability that the student answers at least $12$ questions correctly,which is $P(X \geq 12)$.
$P(X \geq 12) = P(X = 12) + P(X = 13) + \dots + P(X = 20)$.
$P(X \geq 12) = \sum_{x=12}^{20} {}^{20}C_{x} (\frac{1}{2})^{20} = \frac{1}{2^{20}} \sum_{x=12}^{20} {}^{20}C_{x}$.
146
Medium
Suppose $X$ has a binomial distribution $B(6, 1/2)$. Show that $X=3$ is the most likely outcome.
(Hint: $P(X=3)$ is the maximum among all $P(x_i)$,where $x_i = 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6$)

Solution

(C) $X$ is a random variable following a binomial distribution $B(6, 1/2)$.
Here,$n = 6$ and $p = 1/2$.
Therefore,$q = 1 - p = 1 - 1/2 = 1/2$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^nC_x q^{n-x} p^x$.
Substituting the values,we get $P(X=x) = ^6C_x (1/2)^{6-x} (1/2)^x = ^6C_x (1/2)^6$.
Since $(1/2)^6$ is a constant,$P(X=x)$ is maximum when $^6C_x$ is maximum.
Calculating the values of $^6C_x$:
$^6C_0 = ^6C_6 = 6! / (0! 6!) = 1$
$^6C_1 = ^6C_5 = 6! / (1! 5!) = 6$
$^6C_2 = ^6C_4 = 6! / (2! 4!) = 15$
$^6C_3 = 6! / (3! 3!) = 20$
Comparing these values,$^6C_3 = 20$ is the maximum value.
Therefore,$P(X=3)$ is the maximum probability,which implies $X=3$ is the most likely outcome.
147
MediumMCQ
On a multiple choice examination with three possible answers for each of the five questions,what is the probability that a candidate would get four or more correct answers just by guessing?
A
$\frac{11}{243}$
B
$\frac{10}{243}$
C
$\frac{1}{243}$
D
$\frac{5}{243}$

Solution

(A) The repeated guessing of correct answers in multiple choice questions follows Bernoulli trials. Let $X$ represent the number of correct answers by guessing in a set of $n=5$ questions.
The probability of getting a correct answer is $p = \frac{1}{3}$.
Therefore,the probability of an incorrect answer is $q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{3} = \frac{2}{3}$.
$X$ follows a binomial distribution with parameters $n=5$ and $p=\frac{1}{3}$.
The probability mass function is $P(X=x) = ^{5}C_{x} \cdot p^{x} \cdot q^{5-x} = ^{5}C_{x} \cdot (\frac{1}{3})^{x} \cdot (\frac{2}{3})^{5-x}$.
We need to find the probability of getting $4$ or more correct answers,which is $P(X \geq 4) = P(X=4) + P(X=5)$.
$P(X=4) = ^{5}C_{4} \cdot (\frac{1}{3})^{4} \cdot (\frac{2}{3})^{1} = 5 \cdot \frac{1}{81} \cdot \frac{2}{3} = \frac{10}{243}$.
$P(X=5) = ^{5}C_{5} \cdot (\frac{1}{3})^{5} \cdot (\frac{2}{3})^{0} = 1 \cdot \frac{1}{243} \cdot 1 = \frac{1}{243}$.
Thus,$P(X \geq 4) = \frac{10}{243} + \frac{1}{243} = \frac{11}{243}$.
148
MediumMCQ
$A$ person buys a lottery ticket in $50$ lotteries,in each of which his chance of winning a prize is $\frac{1}{100}$. What is the probability that he will win a prize at least once?
A
$1 - (\frac{99}{100})^{50}$
B
$(\frac{99}{100})^{50}$
C
$1 - (\frac{1}{100})^{50}$
D
$(\frac{1}{100})^{50}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of winning prizes in $50$ lotteries. The trials are Bernoulli trials. Clearly,$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n = 50$ and $p = \frac{1}{100}$.
$\therefore q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{100} = \frac{99}{100}$.
$\therefore P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x} = ^{50}C_{x} (\frac{99}{100})^{50-x} \cdot (\frac{1}{100})^{x}$.
$P(\text{winning at least once}) = P(X \geq 1)$.
$= 1 - P(X < 1)$.
$= 1 - P(X = 0)$.
$= 1 - ^{50}C_{0} (\frac{99}{100})^{50}$.
$= 1 - 1 \cdot (\frac{99}{100})^{50}$.
$= 1 - (\frac{99}{100})^{50}$.
149
MediumMCQ
$A$ person buys a lottery ticket in $50$ lotteries,in each of which his chance of winning a prize is $\frac{1}{100}$. What is the probability that he will win a prize exactly once?
A
$\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$
B
$\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{50}$
C
$\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{48}$
D
$\frac{1}{2}\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{47}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of winning prizes in $50$ lotteries. The trials are Bernoulli trials. Clearly,$X$ follows a binomial distribution with $n=50$ and $p=\frac{1}{100}$.
$\therefore q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{100} = \frac{99}{100}$.
The probability mass function is given by $P(X=x) = ^{n}C_{x} p^{x} q^{n-x} = ^{50}C_{x} \left(\frac{1}{100}\right)^{x} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{50-x}$.
We want to find the probability of winning exactly once,which is $P(X=1)$.
$P(X=1) = ^{50}C_{1} \left(\frac{1}{100}\right)^{1} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{50-1}$.
$P(X=1) = 50 \times \frac{1}{100} \times \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$.
$P(X=1) = \frac{50}{100} \times \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49} = \frac{1}{2} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$.
150
DifficultMCQ
$A$ person buys a lottery ticket in $50$ lotteries,in each of which his chance of winning a prize is $\frac{1}{100}$. What is the probability that he will win a prize at least twice?
A
$1 - \left(\frac{149}{100}\right)\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$
B
$1 - \left(\frac{199}{100}\right)\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$
C
$1 - \left(\frac{150}{100}\right)\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$
D
$1 - \left(\frac{100}{149}\right)\left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$

Solution

(A) Let $X$ represent the number of winning prizes in $50$ lotteries. The trials are Bernoulli trials. Clearly,$X$ has a binomial distribution with $n = 50$ and $p = \frac{1}{100}$.
$\therefore q = 1 - p = 1 - \frac{1}{100} = \frac{99}{100}$.
$\therefore P(X = x) = ^{n}C_{x} q^{n-x} p^{x} = ^{50}C_{x} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{50-x} \left(\frac{1}{100}\right)^{x}$.
$P(\text{at least twice}) = P(X \geq 2) = 1 - P(X < 2) = 1 - [P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)]$.
$P(X = 0) = ^{50}C_{0} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{50} \left(\frac{1}{100}\right)^{0} = \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{50}$.
$P(X = 1) = ^{50}C_{1} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49} \left(\frac{1}{100}\right)^{1} = 50 \cdot \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49} \cdot \frac{1}{100} = \frac{1}{2} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$.
$P(X \geq 2) = 1 - \left[ \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{50} + \frac{1}{2} \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49} \right]$.
$= 1 - \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49} \left[ \frac{99}{100} + \frac{1}{2} \right] = 1 - \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49} \left[ \frac{99 + 50}{100} \right] = 1 - \left(\frac{149}{100}\right) \left(\frac{99}{100}\right)^{49}$.

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