Suppose that the reliability of an $HIV$ test is specified as follows: Of people having $HIV$,$90\%$ of the tests detect the disease,but $10\%$ go undetected. Of people free of $HIV$,$99\%$ of the tests are judged $HIV$ negative,but $1\%$ are diagnosed as showing $HIV$ positive. From a large population of which only $0.1\%$ have $HIV$,one person is selected at random,given the $HIV$ test,and the pathologist reports him/her as $HIV$ positive. What is the probability that the person actually has $HIV$?
- A$0.083$
- B$0.091$
- C$0.075$
- D$0.102$
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Three boxes $B_1$,$B_2$ and $B_3$ contain balls with different colors as follows:
Box White,Black,Red $B_1$ $2, 1, 2$ $B_2$ $3, 2, 4$ $B_3$ $4, 3, 2$
$A$ die is thrown. Box $B_1$ is chosen if either $1$ or $2$ turns up. Box $B_2$ is chosen if $3$ or $4$ turns up and box $B_3$ is chosen if $5$ or $6$ turns up. Having chosen a box in this way,a ball is drawn at random from that box. If the ball drawn is found to be Red,then the probability that it is drawn from box $B_2$ is
| Box | White,Black,Red |
|---|---|
| $B_1$ | $2, 1, 2$ |
| $B_2$ | $3, 2, 4$ |
| $B_3$ | $4, 3, 2$ |
$A$ die is thrown. Box $B_1$ is chosen if either $1$ or $2$ turns up. Box $B_2$ is chosen if $3$ or $4$ turns up and box $B_3$ is chosen if $5$ or $6$ turns up. Having chosen a box in this way,a ball is drawn at random from that box. If the ball drawn is found to be Red,then the probability that it is drawn from box $B_2$ is
$A$ bag $P$ contains $5$ white marbles and $3$ black marbles. Four marbles are drawn at random from $P$ and are put in an empty bag $Q$. If a marble drawn at random from $Q$ is found to be black,then the probability that all the three black marbles in $P$ were transferred to the bag $Q$ is:
$A$ car manufacturing factory has two plants $X$ and $Y$. Plant $X$ manufactures $70 \%$ of cars and plant $Y$ manufactures $30 \%$ of cars. $80 \%$ of cars at plant $X$ and $90 \%$ of cars at plant $Y$ are rated as standard quality. $A$ car is chosen at random and is found to be standard quality. The probability that it has come from plant $X$ is
MediumKCET 2021
View SolutionAn instructor has a question bank consisting of $300$ easy True / False questions,$200$ difficult True / False questions,$500$ easy multiple choice questions,and $400$ difficult multiple choice questions. If a question is selected at random from the question bank,what is the probability that it will be an easy question given that it is a multiple choice question?
Medium
View SolutionIn a test,a student either guesses,copies,or knows the answer to a multiple-choice question with four choices having one correct answer. The probability that he guesses the answer is $\frac{1}{3}$ and the probability that he copies it is $\frac{1}{12}$. The probability that his answer is correct given that he copied it is $\frac{1}{6}$. The probability that he knew the answer,given that he has correctly answered it,is
DifficultTS EAMCET 2018
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