$A$ man is known to speak the truth $7$ out of $10$ times. After throwing a die with $100$ faces marked $1, 2, 3, \dots, 100$,the man reports that he got a prime number. What is the probability that it is actually a prime number?

Bag $A$ contains $6$ Green and $8$ Red balls and bag $B$ contains $9$ Green and $5$ Red balls. $A$ card is drawn at random from a well-shuffled pack of $52$ playing cards. If it is a spade,two balls are drawn at random from bag $A$,otherwise two balls are drawn at random from bag $B$. If the two balls drawn are found to be of the same colour,then the probability that they are drawn from bag $A$ is

$A$ shopkeeper buys a particular type of electric bulbs from three manufacturers $M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$. He buys $25 \%$ of his requirement from $M_1$,$45 \%$ from $M_2$,and $30 \%$ from $M_3$. Based on past experience,he found that $2 \%$ of type $M_3$ bulbs are defective,whereas only $1 \%$ of type $M_1$ and type $M_2$ bulbs are defective. If a bulb chosen by him at random is defective,then the probability that it was of type $M_3$ is

In answering a question on a multiple choice test,a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let $\frac{3}{4}$ be the probability that he knows the answer and $\frac{1}{4}$ be the probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability $\frac{1}{4}$. What is the probability that the student knows the answer given that he answered it correctly?

Two coins are available,one fair and the other two-headed. Choose a coin and toss it once; assume that the unbiased coin is chosen with probability $\frac{3}{4}$. Given that the outcome is head,the probability that the two-headed coin was chosen,is

$A$ doctor assumes that a patient has one of three diseases $d_1, d_2,$ or $d_3$. Before any test,he assumes an equal probability for each disease. He carries out a test that will be positive with probability $0.7$ if the patient has disease $d_1$,$0.5$ if the patient has disease $d_2$,and $0.8$ if the patient has disease $d_3$. Given that the outcome of the test was positive,what is the probability that the patient has disease $d_2$?