Coloured balls are distributed in four boxes as shown in the following table:

Box	Black	White	Red	Blue
$I$	$3$	$4$	$5$	$6$
$II$	$2$	$2$	$2$	$2$
$III$	$1$	$2$	$3$	$1$
$IV$	$4$	$3$	$1$	$5$

$A$ box is selected at random and then a ball is randomly drawn from the selected box. If the colour of the ball is black,what is the probability that the ball drawn is from box $III$?

$A$ factory has a total of three manufacturing units,$M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$,which produce bulbs independently. The units $M_1, M_2$,and $M_3$ produce bulbs in the proportions of $2: 2: 1$,respectively. It is known that $20\%$ of the bulbs produced in the factory are defective. It is also known that,of all the bulbs produced by $M_1, 15\%$ are defective. Suppose that,if a randomly chosen bulb produced in the factory is found to be defective,the probability that it was produced by $M_2$ is $\frac{2}{5}$. If a bulb is chosen randomly from the bulbs produced by $M_3$,then the probability that it is defective is $.....$ .

Let $n_1$ and $n_2$ be the number of red and black balls,respectively,in box $I$. Let $n_3$ and $n_4$ be the number of red and black balls,respectively,in box $II$.
$1.$ One of the two boxes,box $I$ and box $II$,was selected at random and a ball was drawn randomly out of this box. The ball was found to be red. If the probability that this red ball was drawn from box $II$ is $\frac{1}{3}$,then the correct option$(s)$ with the possible values of $n_1, n_2, n_3$ and $n_4$ is(are):
$(A)$ $n_1=3, n_2=3, n_3=5, n_4=15$
$(B)$ $n_1=3, n_2=6, n_3=10, n_4=50$
$(C)$ $n_1=8, n_2=6, n_3=5, n_4=20$
$(D)$ $n_1=6, n_2=12, n_3=5, n_4=20$
$2.$ $A$ ball is drawn at random from box $I$ and transferred to box $II$. If the probability of drawing a red ball from box $I$,after this transfer,is $\frac{1}{3}$,then the correct option$(s)$ with the possible values of $n_1$ and $n_2$ is(are):
$(A)$ $n_1=4, n_2=6$
$(B)$ $n_1=2, n_2=3$
$(C)$ $n_1=10, n_2=20$
$(D)$ $n_1=3, n_2=6$
Give the answer for question $1$ and $2$.

Let $A, B,$ and $C$ be three mutually independent events. Consider the two statements $S_1$ and $S_2$:
$S_1 : A$ and $B \cup C$ are independent.
$S_2 : A$ and $B \cap C$ are independent.
Then:

There are $2$ bags each containing $3$ white and $5$ black balls and $4$ bags each containing $6$ white and $4$ black balls. If a ball drawn randomly from a bag is found to be black,then the probability that this ball is from the first set of bags is

In an entrance test,there are multiple-choice questions. There are four possible answers to each question,of which one is correct. The probability that a student knows the answer to a question is $9/10$. If he gets the correct answer to a question,then the probability that he was guessing is